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FFL: Week 1 | NFL: Week 1

NFC North Primer: Packers push Lions, Bears looming

Wed Sep 3 12:23pm ET
Field Level Media

Ben Johnson jumped from his gig as the offensive coordinator of the Detroit Lions to become head coach of the Chicago Bears in a move that could create a seismic shift in the NFC North.

But that leap is bound to take some time as the Bears celebrate 40 years since the Super Bowl Shuffle.

The Bears are competitors on paper, and excitement for the Monster of the Midway to return to the playoffs might be tempered only by the reigning beast of the North in Detroit.

The Lions dominated the conference even in the face of a revolving-door plan on defense caused by major injuries. Now without Johnson and defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn, hired to become head coach of the Jets, more falls to head coach Dan Campbell and 2024 MVP candidate quarterback Jared Goff to keep the talented roster churning forward.

One roadblock to consider is a loaded defense in Green Bay, where Jordan Love is coming off of preseason thumb surgery, but the Packers acquired All-Pro edge rusher Micah Parsons from the Dallas Cowboys.

And the only team to make a change at quarterback is the Minnesota Vikings.

J.J. McCarthy replaces Sam Darnold after a virtual redshirt rookie season prompted by knee surgery last summer. A first-round selection in the 2024 draft, McCarthy steps into an offense with Justin Jefferson as the WR1.

1. Green Bay Packers (11-6 predicted record)

2025 Schedule

W1 Sun Sep 7 vs Detroit Lions

W2 Thu Sep 11 vs Washington Commanders

W3 Sun Sep 21 at Cleveland Browns

W4 Sun Sep 28 at Dallas Cowboys

W5 Bye

W6 Sun Oct 12 vs Cincinnati Bengals

W7 Sun Oct 19 at Arizona Cardinals

W8 Sun Oct 26 at Pittsburgh Steelers

W9 Sun Nov 2 vs Carolina Panthers

W10 Mon Nov 10 vs Philadelphia Eagles

W11 Sun Nov 16 at New York Giants

W12 Sun Nov 23 vs Minnesota Vikings

W13 Thu Nov 27 at Detroit Lions

W14 Sun Dec 7 vs Chicago Bears

W15 Sun Dec 14 at Denver Broncos

W16 Sat Dec 20 at Chicago Bears

W17 Sun Dec 27 vs Baltimore Ravens

W18 Sun Jan 4 at Minnesota Vikings

Predicted Breakout Player: If you paid attention to the Packers last season, you've already seen the relentless effort and profound impact linebacker Edgerrin Cooper can have on this overlooked defense. He's more than capable of being on All-Pro lists this season with the attention of blocking schemes elsewhere. One notch below, DE Lukas Van Ness is one of the immediate beneficiaries to the Packers moving Kenny Clark in the Parsons trade. He has the athletic tools and upside to emerge as a consistent pass-rush threat if Parsons is healthy and producing at his predicted level.

Holiday chopping: All bets are off in the North standings until mid-December, when this bloodbath gets real. If the Packers make a push to the postseason, all appearances of the final seven games of the season would support the belief that they will have earned it. Starting with the Vikings at Lambeau before a short-week Thanksgiving trip to Detroit and two dates with the Bears, the AFC crossover games with 2024 playoff teams -- Denver and Baltimore -- stand as a stern challenge for even a top-rated roster.

2. Detroit Lions (11-6 predicted record)

2025 Schedule

W1 Sun Sep 7 at Green Bay Packers

W2 Sun Sep 14 vs Chicago Bears

W3 Sun Sep 22 at Baltimore Ravens

W4 Sun Sep 28 vs Cleveland Browns

W5 Sun Oct 5 at Cincinnati Bengals

W6 Sun Oct 12 at Kansas City Chiefs

W7 Mon Oct 20 vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

W8 Bye

W9 Sun Nov 2 vs Minnesota Vikings

W10 Sun Nov 9 at Washington Commanders

W11 Sun Nov 16 at Philadelphia Eagles

W12 Sun Nov 23 vs New York Giants

W13 Thu Nov 27 vs Green Bay Packers

W14 Thu Dec 4 vs Dallas Cowboys

W15 Sun Dec 14 at Los Angeles Rams

W16 Sun Dec 21 vs Pittsburgh Steelers

W17 Thu Dec 25 at Minnesota Vikings

W18 Sun Jan 4 at Chicago Bears

Predicted Breakout Player: WR Jameson Williams ran into multiple self-inflicted wounds and stunted his growth to a certain extent, but the former first-round pick is evolving quickly from a one-trick deep threat. He'll still be a concern for backpedaling cornerbacks and those challenges might multiply rapidly if Williams proves a disciplined route-runner on explosive in-cutting routes as advertised.

Meet the new boss: Campbell continues to use the external concern over changing coordinators as internal motivation. He believes the roster has improved and with a healthy Aidan Hutchinson, it's hard to argue Detroit's defense will have more bite.

3. Chicago Bears (10-7 predicted record)

Schedule

W1 Mon Sep 8 vs Minnesota Vikings

W2 Sun Sep 14 at Detroit Lions

W3 Sun Sep 21 vs Dallas Cowboys

W4 Sun Sep 28 at Las Vegas Raiders

W5 Bye

W6 Mon Oct 13 at Washington Commanders

W7 Sun Oct 19 vs New Orleans Saints

W8 Sun Oct 26 at Baltimore Ravens

W9 Sun Nov 2 at Cincinnati Bengals

W10 Sun Nov 9 vs New York Giants

W11 Sun Nov 16 at Minnesota Vikings

W12 Sun Nov 23 vs Pittsburgh Steelers

W13 Fri Nov 28 at Philadelphia Eagles

W14 Sun Dec 7 at Green Bay Packers

W15 Sun Dec 14 vs Cleveland Browns

W16 Sat Dec. 20 vs Green Bay Packers

W17 Sun Dec 28 at San Francisco 49ers

W18 Sun Jan 4 vs Detroit Lions

Mr. Williams' neighborhood: Thriving in unrehearsed situations is an ingredient for greatness in quarterbacks and, hoo boy, did Caleb Williams go through it as a rookie. Even with a handful of coaching changes -- which necessitated multiple play-caller switches -- Williams challenged Aaron Rodgers' record for pass attempts without an interception and kept Chicago in more games than the Bears probably deserved to be in. Under Johnson, the sharp-edged attention to detail could spell instant returns -- and wins -- for the 2024 No. 1 overall pick.

Living on the edge: Is there enough of a pass rush in place for the Bears to rattle the elite quarterbacks on their schedule? One reason pundits are picking against Chicago contending is the uncertain production from their defensive ends. Montez Sweat wins consistently but without a sidekick, can they get home enough? GM Ryan Poles wrote big checks to bring in defensive tackle Grady Jarrett, who is well into the back nine of his career at age 32, and Dayo Odeyingbo (6-5, 282) is the starter at left end opposite Sweat. He's big, powerful and can win one-on-one, but don't bet on him becoming the difference-maker on defense.

4. Minnesota Vikings (8-9 predicted record)

Schedule

W1 Mon, Sep 8 at Chicago Bears

W2 Sun, Sep 14 vs Atlanta Falcons

W3 Sun, Sep 21 vs Cincinnati Bengals

W4 Sun, Sep 28 at Pittsburgh Steelers (Dublin, IE)

W5 Sun, Oct 5 at Cleveland Browns (London, UK)

W6 Bye

W7 Sun Oct 19 vs Philadelphia Eagles

W8 Thu Oct 23 at Los Angeles Chargers

W9 Sun Nov 2 at Detroit Lions

W10 Sun Nov 9 vs Baltimore Ravens

W11 Sun Nov 16 vs Chicago Bears

W12 Sun Nov 23 at Green Bay Packers

W13 Sun Nov 30 at Seattle Seahawks

W14 Sun Dec 7 vs Washington Commanders

W15 Sun Dec 14 at Dallas Cowboys

W16 Sun Dec 21 at New York Giants

W17 Thu Dec 25 vs Detroit Lions

W18 Sun Jan 4 vs Green Bay Packers

Predicted Breakout Player: J.J. McCarthy (QB) -- Despite being unproven, many analysts expect McCarthy to make a leap as the Vikings' starter, with his development being a key storyline. No single standout named in sources, but his role as QB with upside suggests breakout potential.

Running men: Aaron Jones was a solid addition for the Vikings after being released by the Packers before last season, but Minnesota's ground game remained mediocre (93.4-yard average per game). Signing Jordan Mason in free agency after his breakout season with the 49ers and the return of tone-setting left tackle Christian Darrisaw sparks optimism for the rushing attack to be a featured part of the scheme. Minnesota also signed free agents Ryan Kelly, a former Pro Bowl center with the Colts, and his teammate in Indy, new right guard Will Fries, to bolster the front five.

Top Headlines
The Paur Report

Waiver Wire Pickups: Week 1

Player Notes
Sam Darnold Sep 3 11:10am CT
Sam Darnold

Seattle Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold was "mostly impressive because of his discipline" as a passer in training camp, according to Michael-Shawn Dugar of The Athletic. Per Dugar, Darnold ranked second in the NFL in offensive plays of at least 20 yards (62) while playing for the Minnesota Vikings in 2024. However, Dugar writes, "that's not the Darnold we saw in training camp." It appears the Seahawks may be placing more of an emphasis on ball control and safe completions in the short and intermediate areas of the field in Darnold's first season with the team. The 28-year-old is reliant on big yardage and touchdown totals to score fantasy points. Darnold profiles as a fantasy QB3 who may not factor at all in 2025.

From RotoBaller

Jerome Ford Sep 3 10:50am CT
Jerome Ford

Cleveland Browns running back Jerome Ford is listed as the starting running back on the team's depth chart heading into Cleveland's Week 1 matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals. Fourth-round rookie Dylan Sampson is listed as the RB2 and will reportedly work as a change-of-pace back behind Ford early in the season. Second-round rookie Quinshon Judkins should factor into the backfield mix in Cleveland at some point this season, but remains unsigned for the time being after a domestic violence incident in July. Ford has a chance to outperform his draft-day cost until Judkins is signed and fully integrated into the offense. The 25-year-old Ford profiles as an RB3/flex option in Week 1.

From RotoBaller

Ricky Pearsall Sep 3 10:40am CT
Ricky Pearsall

Vic Tafur and Matt Barrows of The Athletic write that "it sure seemed like the hype and jump to No. 1 receiver status was premature" for San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Ricky Pearsall. With 49ers wideout Jauan Jennings (calf) returning to practice on Monday, Tafur and Barrows write that "Jennings' return allows the 49ers to not put too much on Pearsall's plate after all." A first-round pick in 2024, Pearsall's rookie season was delayed by a gunshot wound he suffered in the offseason. He returned in Week 7 and recorded 31 receptions for 400 yards and three touchdowns in 11 games. Pearsall has been one of the big risers in fantasy drafts in recent weeks and could be a value as a WR3/flex, but it appears at least two of the team's beat writers feel expectations for the 24-year-old need to be reined in.

From RotoBaller

Khalil Shakir Sep 3 10:30am CT
Khalil Shakir

Buffalo Bills wide receiver Khalil Shakir (ankle) missed most of training camp and the preseason after suffering a high ankle sprain on August 1. However, Joe Buscaglia of The Athletic writes that it would "not at all be a surprise if (Shakir) were to step back into his immediate full role of getting 70-plus percent of offensive snaps" in Week 1 against the Baltimore Ravens. The 25-year-old averaged 6.7 targets per game in 2024 and finished the year with 76 catches for 821 yards and four touchdowns in 15 games. If he is indeed without limitation in Week 1, Shakir and second-year wideout Keon Coleman are likely to be the top targets for Bills quarterback Josh Allen. Shakir profiles as a high-floor WR4 in fantasy who lacks explosive upside but should see steady volume working out of the slot in Buffalo.

From RotoBaller

George Pickens Sep 3 10:20am CT
George Pickens

Dallas Cowboys wide receiver George Pickens has been "energized" by playing in a different offensive scheme this year, according to Jon Machota of The Athletic. Additionally, Machota writes that the 24-year-old is "being showcased in different routes and concepts" than he was with the Pittsburgh Steelers, where Pickens spent the first three seasons of his career. Pickens is known as a ball-winning outside receiver, and he led the NFL in yards per reception (18.1) back in 2023. However, it sounds as though Dallas could be looking to vary Pickens' route tree in 2025, which could help him see more target volume (career 6.1 targets per game). He enters the year as the clear number two option in the Cowboys' passing game behind star wide receiver CeeDee Lamb. Pickens profiles as a low-end WR2/high-end WR3 in fantasy.

From RotoBaller

Jaydon Blue Sep 3 9:50am CT
Jaydon Blue

Dallas Cowboys rookie running back Jaydon Blue makes his NFL debut on Thursday Night Football against the Philadelphia Eagles. The 2025 fifth-round pick suffered a low-ankle sprain in the preseason finale against Atlanta, but practiced in full this week and is off the injury report. Blue opens the year as the RB3 in Dallas, sitting behind Javonte Williams and Miles Sanders on the depth chart. That leaves him without a clear fantasy role heading into Week 1. Even if the Cowboys mix him in for a handful of touches, the matchup is as bad as it gets. Philadelphia allowed the fewest fantasy points to running backs in 2024. For now, Blue is more of a deep stash in dynasty and very deep leagues, while redraft managers should keep him on their bench until his workload becomes more defined.

From RotoBaller

Javonte Williams Sep 3 9:40am CT
Javonte Williams

Dallas Cowboys running back Javonte Williams makes his Cowboys debut in Week 1 against the Philadelphia Eagles, but fantasy managers should temper expectations. Williams signed a one-year deal with Dallas and is listed atop the depth chart ahead of Miles Sanders and rookie Jaydon Blue. While the role is encouraging, the matchup is not. Philadelphia allowed the fewest fantasy points to running backs last year and projects to force the Cowboys into a pass-heavy game script. Williams profiles as an RB4 this week, better suited for benches than starting lineups outside of deeper leagues.

From RotoBaller

Miles Sanders Sep 3 9:30am CT
Miles Sanders

Dallas Cowboys running back Miles Sanders is set to make his debut in Week 1 against the Philadelphia Eagles. After a disappointing 2024 campaign in Carolina, where he lost the starting job to Chuba Hubbard, Sanders is looking for a fresh start in Dallas. In Cowboys camp, Sanders has been splitting first-team reps with Javonte Williams, though Williams is expected to open the season as the starter. With Sanders expected to be the team's RB2, it makes it very difficult to trust starting him in fantasy lineups this week. Sanders also faces the league's toughest defense vs running backs in 2024, making his path to fantasy production nearly impossible in Week 1.

From RotoBaller

Julius Chestnut Sep 3 8:50am CT
Julius Chestnut

Tennessee Titans running back Julius Chestnut has been listed as the team's RB2 to start the season. With Tyjae Spears opening the year on injured reserve, the fourth-year back holds the backup role ahead of 2025 sixth-round pick Kalel Mullings. Through his first three seasons, Chestnut has appeared in 26 games, recording just 31 carries for 114 yards, but now steps into an expanded opportunity. Chestnut will serve as the primary backup behind veteran Tony Pollard until Spears returns. While he remains a non-factor for fantasy purposes, especially in a tough Week 1 matchup against the Denver Broncos' defense, this promotion reflects Chestnut's growth within the organization and solidifies his place on the Titans' depth chart.

From RotoBaller

Hunter Luepke Sep 3 8:50am CT
Hunter Luepke

The Dallas Cowboys and fullback Hunter Luepke have agreed to a two-year contract extension worth up to $7.5 million, per NFL Network's Tom Pelissero and Mike Garafolo. The deal makes Luepke the second-highest paid fullback in the NFL, joining San Francisco's Kyle Juszczyk, behind Miami Dolphins' Alec Ingold. The third-year pro out of North Dakota State is coming off the best season of his career in 2024, when he tallied 149 yards and a touchdown on 24 touches. Beyond his production, Luepke proved his value as a versatile contributor, excelling as a runner, receiver, and blocker in the Cowboys' offense. With the extension secured, Luepke is expected to remain Dallas's starting fullback as the team prepares for a critical Week 1 divisional matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles.

From RotoBaller

Trevon Diggs Sep 3 8:30am CT
Trevon Diggs

Dallas Cowboys cornerback Trevon Diggs (knee) is expected to suit up Thursday night against the Philadelphia Eagles. The two-time Pro Bowler is coming off a season-ending knee injury in 2024 that required a chondral tissue graft procedure. While Diggs and the team expressed uncertainty about his Week 1 availability during training camp, his return for the season opener is a positive sign. Diggs is likely to see plenty of star wide receiver A.J. Brown, who PFF graded as the NFL's top wide receiver against man coverage in 2024. Brown's physicality and route-running will test Diggs immediately, making this one of the marquee matchups of Week 1 as the Cowboys look to slow down the defending champions.

From RotoBaller

Jalen Royals Sep 3 8:10am CT
Jalen Royals

Kansas City Chiefs rookie wide receiver Jalen Royals (knee) has been ruled out for Friday's season opener against the Los Angeles Chargers. The fourth-round pick has been sidelined for multiple weeks with knee tendinitis and did not travel with the team to Brazil on Wednesday. Royals was expected to provide depth behind third-year starter Rashee Rice, who is suspended for the first six games. With both Royals and Rice unavailable, veteran JuJu Smith-Schuster is positioned to take on a larger role. Smith-Schuster, who rejoined the Chiefs in 2024 after Rice suffered a season-ending LCL injury, has an opportunity to stabilize the passing game early in the year. Royals' next opportunity to make his NFL debut is against the Philadelphia Eagles. - Nathan Harvey

From RotoBaller

Isaiah Likely Sep 3 8:10am CT
Isaiah Likely

Baltimore Ravens tight end Isaiah Likely (foot) is not expected to suit up for Sunday night's matchup against the Buffalo Bills. Likely suffered a broken bone in his foot during a non-contact drill in late July and underwent surgery shortly after. The initial timeline projected a six-week recovery. Baltimore elected not to place Likely on the PUP list or injured reserve, signaling optimism that he will return early in the season. With Likely sidelined, Mark Andrews should see an uptick in opportunities. In the lone game Likely missed last season, Andrews produced six receptions on seven targets for 68 yards and a touchdown. The Ravens will hope to have Likely back as soon as Week 2, when they host the Cleveland Browns.

From RotoBaller

Russell Gage Sep 2 11:20pm CT
Russell Gage

San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Russell Gage Jr. was released from the active roster on Tuesday, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. However, the team plans to sign him to their practice squad, and they will elevate him to the active roster if he's still available on gameday. The 29-year-old is best known for the first few years of his career with the Falcons, but he also scored five touchdowns in 2022 with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Gage actually hasn't been targeted since the 2022 season, but San Francisco clearly likes what it sees from the former sixth-round pick. If he does suit up for Sunday's game, he'd be off the fantasy radar.

From RotoBaller

Travis Hunter Sep 2 11:00pm CT
Travis Hunter

Jacksonville Jaguars rookie two-way star Travis Hunter is listed as a starting wide receiver and backup cornerback on the team's initial depth chart. Hunter and Brian Thomas Jr. are listed in the first-team offense, along with Dyami Brown. The Colorado product exploded for 96 catches, 1,258 receiving yards, and 15 touchdowns last year, cementing his status as a top prospect. He was ultimately drafted second overall by the Jacksonville Jaguars, who traded up to select him. He was just as dominant on the defensive side of the ball at school, totaling 36 tackles, four interceptions, and 11 passes defended during his final collegiate season. He won the Heisman Trophy and was also named Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year. There is still some uncertainty about whether Hunter can stay healthy for a full season while playing on both sides of the ball, but if he can, the sky is the limit. He's a solid low-end WR3 option heading into the 2025 fantasy season.

From RotoBaller

Jake Haener Sep 2 11:00pm CT
Jake Haener

The New Orleans Saints have re-signed quarterback Jake Haener to their active roster, according to Ross Jackson of Locked On Saints. The 26-year-old is heading into his third pro season, including his third with the Saints. Haener didn't play as a rookie in 2023, but he took on a bigger role last year and even made one start. He finished the season with a 46.2 percent completion rate, 226 passing yards, one touchdown, and one interception. He can be left on fantasy waivers as long as he remains the Saints' third-string quarterback behind Tyler Shough and Spencer Rattler. In fact, Haener will likely be inactive as the emergency third quarterback on gamedays.

From RotoBaller

Deuce Vaughn Sep 2 11:00pm CT
Deuce Vaughn

The Denver Broncos hosted free agent running back Deuce Vaughn for a workout on Tuesday, according to Jordan Schultz of Bleacher Report. The 23-year-old spent each of the last two seasons in a depth role with the Dallas Cowboys. Through 14 career games (zero starts), he has 110 rushing yards and 58 receiving yards. However, he's still searching for his first NFL touchdown. If signed, Vaughn would offer additional running back depth behind J.K. Dobbins, R.J. Harvey, Tyler Badie, and Jaleel McLaughlin. He can be avoided in all fantasy leagues.

From RotoBaller

George Pickens Sep 2 10:50pm CT
George Pickens

Dallas Cowboys wide receiver George Pickens is set to make his first appearance with his new team this Thursday against the Philadelphia Eagles. Pickens arrived in Dallas after an offseason trade, and he's expected to have a sizable role in an offense that should lean heavily on the passing attack this year. The 24-year-old has eclipsed 800 yards in each of his three pro seasons, and he could soar even higher this year if opposing defenses commit most of their attention to covering CeeDee Lamb. Plus, we expect Dallas to be playing from behind in a potential shootout against the Philadelphia Eagles, which means that Lamb, Pickens, and other Cowboys pass catchers could be peppered with targets. All in all, managers should trust Pickens as a low-end WR3/FLEX option in 12-team leagues this week.

From RotoBaller

Boston Scott Sep 2 10:43pm CT
Boston Scott

Free-agent RB Boston Scott (Steelers) worked out for the Indianapolis Colts Tuesday, Sept. 2.

From TheHuddle

Brandon Aubrey Sep 2 10:40pm CT
Brandon Aubrey

Dallas Cowboys kicker Brandon Aubrey should be inserted into fantasy managers' starting lineups despite a difficult matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 1. Kicking on the road isn't easy, especially when the venue doesn't have a roof. However, Aubrey has repeatedly shown that he can nail long kicks in difficult conditions. Although he went 0-for-1 on field goals in Philadelphia last year, that came during a rough period of time when Dak Prescott was sidelined. He looked better when the Cowboys hosted the Eagles, going 2-for-2 on field goals with a successful 46-yarder. The biggest reason why you should start Aubrey, though, is his track record. He has been either K1 or K2 in each of his two NFL seasons, and Aubrey in an unfavorable venue is still better than many kickers in the serenity of a dome. Philadelphia's defense may limit Dallas' red-zone opportunities, but the Cowboys' kicker should still have several opportunities to add points via field goals. Start him with confidence in Week 1.

From RotoBaller