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AFC East Primer: MVP Josh Allen, Bills ride again

Thu Aug 28 2:19pm ET
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Buffalo rolls into the 2025 season as the continued standard-bearer in the AFC East.

Last season, the Bills were perfect at home (8-0) and won 13 games in the regular season before another painful dismissal from the playoffs at the hands of Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs.

Quarterback Josh Allen won the MVP award in a tight race with Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson, hushing questions about the need for a legitimate No. 1 receiver.

Miami (8-9 in 2024) was the runner up in a division race that didn't make it to December. The Dolphins failed to replicate the dynamic offense of 2023 and began taking on water, barely floating through a month without Tua Tagovailoa following a three-INT game -- and 31-10 home loss -- against the Bills in Week 2.

Changes in the division since last season ended are noteworthy.

Former Patriots linebacker Mike Vrabel was hired as head coach in New England, ending a one-year trial without Bill Belichick that proved a fantastic flop. Jerod Mayo, another former linebacker under Belichick, had separate losing streaks of six games and went 4-13.

The disciplined, defensive-minded Vrabel pushed for heavy investments along the offensive line to give 2024 No. 3 pick Drake Maye a fighting chance.

And the Jets have a third head coach in less than a year, bringing back one of their former defensive players, Aaron Glenn, most recently the defensive coordinator of the Detroit Lions -- to call the shots for the first time.

Glenn dismissed Aaron Rodgers and the Jets signed former Chicago Bears and Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Justin Fields as their QB1.

Our look at the AFC East entering the 2025 season with predicted record and order of finish:

1. Buffalo Bills (12-5 predicted 2025 record)

Schedule

W1 Sun Sep 7 - vs Ravens

W2 Sun Sep 14 - at Jets

W3 Thu Sep 18 - vs Dolphins

W4 Sun Sep 28 - vs Saints

W5 Sun Oct 5 - vs Patriots

W6 Mon Oct 13 - at Falcons

W7 BYE

W8 Sun Oct 26 - at Panthers

W9 Sun Nov 9 - vs Chiefs

W10 Sun Nov 9 - at Dolphins

W11 Sun Nov 16 - vs Bucs

W12 Thu Nov 20 - at Texans

W13 Sun Nov 30 - at Steelers

W14 Sun Dec 7 - vs Bengals

W15 Sun Dec 14 - at Patriots

W16 Sun Dec 21 - at Browns

W17 Sun Dec 28 - vs Eagles

W18 TBD - vs Jets

Outlook: With RB James Cook signed to an extension, the Bills have the makings of an explosive offense yet again. They could very well need all the points they can get. Buffalo's demise in the postseason was the inability to come up with critical stops. Credit Allen for the playoff win over Jackson and the Ravens, but check the video for what could have easily been a Ravens' celebration that chilly January day if only Baltimore's skill players made expected plays.

Take a breakout ... WR Keon Coleman might not emerge as the top target in Buffalo's offense, but he's destined to become the big-play machine Allen covets when safeties crowd the line to contend with Cook and tight ends Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox. Coleman's size, bounce and above-the-rim ability in traffic equate to splash plays dead ahead.

Roster weak spot: Nevermind the No. 1 wideout label, the Bills are still absent a genuine dog at safety and overall depth in the secondary is likely to again keep head coach Sean McDermott up at night.

Circle the date: It is Super Bowl or bust for the Bills. Their Dec. 28 collision with the defending champion Philadelphia Eagles could have some bearing on the AFC order of finish and home-field advantage.

2. Miami Dolphins (9-8 predicted record)

Schedule

W1 Sun Sep 7 - at Colts

W2 Sun Sep 14 - vs Patriots

W3 Thu Sep 18 - at Bills

W4 Mon Sep 29 - vs Jets

W5 Sun Oct 5 - at Panthers

W6 Sun Oct 12 - vs Chargers

W7 Sun Oct 19 - at Browns

W8 Sun Oct 26 - at Falcons

W9 Thu Oct 30 - vs Ravens

W10 Sun Nov 9 - vs Bills

W11 Sun Nov 16 - vs Commanders (Madrid)

W12 BYE

W13 Sun Nov 30 - vs Saints

W14 Sun Dec 7 - at Jets

W15 Mon Dec 15 - at Steelers

W16 Sun Dec 21 - vs Bengals

W17 Sun Dec 28 - vs Buccaneers

W18 TBD - at Patriots

Cold road ahead: Ending the season in January in the Boston area wouldn't be the ideal scenario for a franchise with historical brutal results in sweater weather. South Floridians need no reminder about the de facto division title game loss at home to Buffalo in Week 18 of the 2023 season that pushed Miami from a home game to a wild-card visit to subarctic Kansas City. They lost 26-7.

The Dolphins have lost 11 games in a row with a kickoff temperature 40 degrees or below with an average margin of defeat more than 17 points.

Yet again the make-or-break part of the season for the Dolphins has a slippery stretch of potential cold-weather games at the Jets (Dec. 7) and at Pittsburgh (Dec. 15). Fortunately for the Dolphins, they visit Buffalo in Week 3 before the tundra is frozen.

Achane the Machine: RB De'Von Achane could be used in an every-down role in Miami, which means massive production -- if he stays healthy. Despite a preseason calf injury, he is expected to play in Week 1. As for big-picture expectations, Achane might not approach prime Christian McCaffrey levels, but the 49ers former offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel does know how to use a home-run threat at the position. Last season, Achane had 78 receptions for 592 yards and six touchdowns, and his rushing totals were 203-907-6.

Roster weak spot: Did the Dolphins attempt to settle the OL issues that haunted McDaniel's offense last season? They did. But with Terron Armstead retiring, there's uncertainty and limited cohesion for the front five. A lot hinges on the left side of tackle Patrick Paul (three career starts) and rookie second-round guard Jonah Savaiinaea. Paul, a second-rounder in 2024, is a massive man (6-foot-5, 326 pounds) for whom Miami has large expectations.

3. New England Patriots (7-10)

Schedule

W1 Sun Sep 7 - vs Raiders

W2 Sun Sep 14 - at Dolphins

W3 Sun Sep 21 - vs Steelers

W4 Sun Sep 28 - vs Panthers

W5 Sun Oct 5 - at Bills

W6 Sun Oct 12 - at Saints

W7 Sun Oct 19 - at Titans

W8 Sun Oct 26 - vs Browns

W9 Sun Nov 2 - vs Falcons

W10 Sun Nov 9 - vs Buccaneers

W11 Thu Nov 13 - vs Jets

W12 Sun Nov 23 - at Bengals

W13 Mon Dec 1 - vs Giants

W14 BYE

W15 Sun Dec 14 - vs Bills

W16 Sun Dec 21 - at Ravens

W17 Sun Dec 28 - at Jets

W18 TBD - vs Dolphins

Division by subtraction: Not since 2019 have the Patriots gone better than .500 in a division New England owned with a streak of 11 consecutive AFC East crowns from 2009-19. Head coach Mike Vrabel wants to reestablish an edge in the East to separate the Patriots from the pack. New England's first division game comes Sept. 14 at Miami, where the Patriots are 0-5 since 2020.

On the rise: Vrabel brought in multiple familiar faces to boost the defense, but his prized pupil could be edge rusher Keion White, a second-round draft pick in 2023. Overlooked nationally because New England has been easily dismissed as a bottom-five team back-to-back seasons, White already has top-of-the-scouting-report status in the AFC. The 26-year-old had 5.0 sacks last season but double digits is realistic in his third NFL season.

Roster weak spot: Worry might not be the right word and Vrabel might never admit it, but the offensive line remains a concern. Drafting left tackle Will Campbell was a major upgrade. We can't say the same about the other four spots on the line. Right tackle Morgan Moses has been solid for years and credit the 34-year-old for steady play with the Jets last season, but he's no longer a pillar. For context, he played his first NFL game a few days after Maye's 12th birthday in 2014.

4. New York Jets (6-11)

Schedule

W1 Sun Sep 7 - vs Steelers

W2 Sun Sep 14 - vs Bills

W3 Sun Sep 21 - at Buccaneers

W4 Mon Sep 29 - at Dolphins

W5 Sun Oct 5 - vs Cowboys

W6 Sun Oct 12 - vs Broncos (London)

W7 Sun Oct 19 - vs Panthers

W8 Sun Oct 26 - at Bengals

W9 - BYE

W10 Sun Nov 9 - vs Browns

W11 Thu Nov 13 - at Patriots

W12 Sun Nov 23 - at Ravens

W13 Sun Nov 30 - vs Falcons

W14 Sun Dec 7 - vs Dolphins

W15 Sun Dec 14 - at Jaguars

W16 Sun Dec 21 - at Saints

W17 Sun Dec 28 - vs Patriots

W18 TBD - at Bills

Ready or not: The Jets are glad to go into the season with a franchise-familiar game plan of trusting their championship-caliber defense to keep them in games. Aaron Glenn was aggressive as a cornerback in this uniform and as a defensive coordinator with the Lions. The potential pratfall based on early returns could be the inability of the offense to hit the accelerator. The passing game isn't equipped to trade blows with the teams on the early schedule -- Buffalo, Tampa Bay, Miami and Dallas are all capable of 30-point explosions. How does Glenn counter?

Pick your poison: Circle the primary target from the front seven of the Jets ... not many are picking right end Jermaine Johnson. That's soon to be a problem for offensive linemen. Johnson is returning from torn Achilles on the other side of the new 4-3 front the Jets will deploy from outside linebacker Will McDonald IV. His wingspan eliminates the option of quick blocks from offensive linemen fearing defensive tackle Quinnen Williams, and if he recovers the first-step explosiveness post-op, Johnson might be unstoppable.

Roster weak spot: We are willing to apologize if the Jets make the trio of interior offensive line positions into a strength this season. Preseason and training camp didn't inspire any level of confidence with the blitz-happy Steelers up as a stern live experiment in Week 1.

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Ollie Gordon II Aug 28 2:00pm CT
Ollie Gordon II

Miami Dolphins rookie running back Ollie Gordon II is expected to open the season as the RB2 behind De'Von Achane (calf) with Jaylen Wright (leg) likely sidelined for the first few weeks. Achane is trending toward playing Week 1, but Gordon should see rotational snaps and remains a valuable handcuff in case of setbacks. He'll face a Colts defense that ranked 24th against the run in 2024. While his short-term fantasy appeal is limited, Gordon is worth stashing as insurance and could become a plug-and-play option if Achane were to suffer any setbacks.

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Quinshon Judkins Aug 28 1:50pm CT
Quinshon Judkins

Cleveland Browns rookie running back Quinshon Judkins remains unsigned but is not considering a return to college, according to Mary Kay Cabot of Cleveland.com. Earlier in the week, NBC's Mike Florio reported that the former Ohio State standout could begin to pursue a return to college, but Cabot's recent report suggests the running back is not planning to go this route. Earlier in the offseason, Judkins was arrested for domestic violence and battery charges. While his prosecutors dropped the charges against him, he has yet to agree to a rookie contract with the Broncos. Additionally, the NFL could still suspend him after conducting their own investigation. Given his uncertain situation, it is best to leave Judkins off your draft board for the time being. Throughout the preseason, fellow rookie Dylan Sampson and veteran Jerome Ford have shared the backfield and will likely open the season as the 1A and 1B in the running back room.

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Jayden Daniels Aug 28 1:40pm CT
Jayden Daniels

Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels expressed confidence in his continued chemistry with star wideout Terry McLaurin, noting, "It never leaves." McLaurin, who returned to practice this week, is coming off a 2024 season with 82 catches, 1,096 yards, and a career-high 13 touchdowns. His steady presence makes him Daniels' clear top target heading into 2025. Currently being drafted as WR16, McLaurin carries strong upside and could be one of the better value picks among mid-tier receivers this season.

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DeVonta Smith Aug 28 1:40pm CT
DeVonta Smith

The Philadelphia Eagles received a boost Thursday as wide receiver DeVonta Smith (groin) returned to practice alongside A.J. Brown. His presence is a positive sign for the offense heading into their Week 1 Thursday night clash with the Cowboys. Smith is coming off what many considered a "down" 2024 season, tallying 68 catches for 833 yards and eight touchdowns. Still, he remains a strong mid-round fantasy target with WR2 upside in one of the league's most explosive offenses. With questions surrounding the Cowboys amid the Micah Parsons storyline, Philadelphia's offense will look to set the tone early in the opener.

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Harrison Smith Aug 28 1:20pm CT
Harrison Smith

Minnesota Vikings safety Harrison Smith (undisclosed) has been out of practice since August 11, and his status remains uncertain as Week 1 approaches. While the team doesn't expect Smith to miss significant time, his absence is worth monitoring given his role as a six-time Pro Bowler and defensive leader. If Smith were sidelined for the opener, the Bears' rushing attack, led by D'Andre Swift and rookie Kyle Monangai, could benefit from a softer matchup. Smith's health will be a key storyline for Minnesota's defense heading into the season.

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Marvin Mims Aug 28 1:10pm CT
Marvin Mims

Denver Broncos wide receiver Marvin Mims Jr. (groin) is expected to be back at practice Monday, head coach Sean Payton confirmed. Entering his third season, Mims produced 503 yards and six touchdowns on 39 receptions last year, and his role could expand as quarterback Bo Nix develops in year two. Mims is trending upward on fantasy draft boards and should be in line for standard usage in Week 1 against the Titans. Beyond his receiving work, Mims is also one of the league's most dynamic return specialists, adding sneaky value in leagues that reward return yardage and touchdowns.

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Hunter Renfrow Aug 28 1:00pm CT
Hunter Renfrow

Veteran free-agent wide receiver Hunter Renfrow, who was released by the Carolina Panthers on roster cutdown day on Tuesday, is receiving interest from multiple teams, including the Panthers, a league source told David Newton of ESPN. Panthers general manager Dan Morgan said on Thursday that it's up to Renfrow to decide where he wants to be, and Morgan said the Panthers are open to adding Renfrow to the 53-man roster. However, if Renfrow was going to return to the Panthers, it would seem it would have happened already. Carolina just traded veteran Adam Thielen to the Minnesota Vikings, so it makes sense why they'd be interested in bringing the 29-year-old Clemson product back for depth. Renfrow was a Pro Bowler in 2021 with the Raiders and had a 1,000-yard season, but he fell off a cliff in 2022 and 2023 due to health issues before being released.

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Shedeur Sanders Aug 28 12:40pm CT
Shedeur Sanders

Cleveland Browns head coach Kevin Stefanski told reporters that rookie fifth-round quarterback Shedeur Sanders will open his first NFL season as the third QB, which means he will be able to dress for regular-season games. Veteran Joe Flacco will open the year as the starter under center for Cleveland, with rookie third-rounder Dillon Gabriel serving as his direct backup after the Brown traded Kenny Pickett to the Las Vegas Raiders this week. The 23-year-old Sanders looked good in the team's preseason opener but then missed some time in training camp with an oblique injury, which didn't help his cause in passing Gabriel on the QB depth chart this summer. The Browns reunited with Bailey Zappe this week, but he will open the year on the practice squad. With two rookie QBs as their insurance policy, expect the Browns to giv Flacco a longer leash in 2025.

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Darnell Mooney Aug 28 12:30pm CT
Darnell Mooney

Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Darnell Mooney (shoulder) is at practice and in uniform on Thursday for the first time since July 24, according to Marc Raimondi of ESPN. Mooney injured his shoulder on the first day of training camp and is just now returning. Although it's unclear if the 27-year-old will be ready for Week 1 of the regular season on Sunday, Sept. 7, against the division-rival Tampa Bay Buccaneers, he was able to avoid landing on short-term Injured Reserve, which would have kept him out for the first four games of the year. Expect Atlanta to begin ramping Mooney back up in advance of next week's season opener. In his first year with the Falcons in 2024, Mooney had one of the best years of his career, posting a 64-992-5 line on 106 targets over 16 starts. It might be a stretch for him to duplicate those numbers in 2025, but he's at least worth a late-round flier for receiving depth in fantasy drafts.

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A.J. Brown Aug 28 12:10pm CT
A.J. Brown

Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver A.J. Brown (hamstring) returned to practice on Wednesday and is expected to be on the field for the Week 1 regular-season opener on Thursday, Sept. 4, against the division-rival Dallas Cowboys, according to Zach Berman of The Athletic. Brown has been dealing with a hamstring injury since early in August, and the Eagles have been playing it safe with their star wideout. The 28-year-old looked good while doing a pre-game workout last Friday before the preseason finale, and it appears that he's slowly being ramped up before next week's season opener. As long as he doesn't have a setback in his return to practice in the next week, fantasy managers should expect to have him in their starting lineups against Dallas. In two games against the Cowboys in 2024, Brown caught eight of his 12 targets for 145 yards and a touchdown.

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Devon Achane Aug 28 12:00pm CT
Devon Achane

Miami Dolphins running back De'Von Achane (calf) did not put in any practice work on Thursday, according to David Furones of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel. Achane hasn't practiced in over a week due to a nagging calf injury, but general manager Chris Grier said on Wednesday that the team expects him to play in Week 1 of the regular season against the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday, Sept. 7. We're still a bit skeptical, and fantasy managers should be, too, until the 23-year-old gets back onto the practice field. The Dolphins could just be playing this one extra cautious, especially with backup Jaylen Wright (leg) having leg surgery and not expected to be ready for the start of the year. Achane will be a must-start in all fantasy lineups if he's active in Week 1, but if he's out or limited, it would pave the way for rookie Ollie Gordon II to see significant backfield work.

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Tyreek Hill Aug 28 11:40am CT
Tyreek Hill

David Furones of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel reports that Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill (oblique) is practicing on Thursday, per head coach Mike McDaniel. McDaniel said earlier on Thursday that Hill is expected to play in Week 1 of the regular season against the Indianapolis Colts despite missing a lot of training camp due to a nagging oblique injury. Now that the 31-year-old speedster is back on the field with another week until the season opener, it's safe to assume he'll be active on Sunday, Sept. 7. Although Hill was limited on Thursday, McDaniel said that "everything looks great." The Cheetah will slowly be ramped up going into next weekend as both he and the Dolphins offense look to bounce back from a disappointing 2024 campaign. Hill still has the skills to produce 1,000 yards for fantasy managers, but his value is tied to the health of oft-injured QB Tua Tagovailoa, putting him on the WR1/2 borderline.

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Jalen Coker Aug 28 11:20am CT
Jalen Coker

Carolina Panthers general manager Dan Morgan said specifically that wide receiver Jalen Coker will play in the slot this year after the team traded veteran Adam Thielen to the Minnesota Vikings this week. Morgan also called Coker "a baller." Now that Thielen is out of town, the 23-year-old second-year pass-catcher projects to start in the slot in three-wide sets alongside rookie first-rounder Tetairoa McMillan and Xavier Legette. After going undrafted last year, Coker signed with the Panthers and made noise in his first year in the NFL with 32 catches on 46 targets for 478 yards and two touchdowns in 11 games (four starts). Coker was Carolina's top slot receiver from Weeks 5-10 when Thielen was injured, and he was in a near every-down role to close out the year. Coker is ranked as the No. 63 receiver at RotoBaller and is worth a late-round flier as a sleeper in upcoming fantasy drafts.

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Will Howard Aug 28 11:20am CT
Will Howard

The Pittsburgh Steelers placed rookie quarterback Will Howard (hand) on the Reserve/Injured list on Thursday, according to Teresa Varley of Steelers.com. Howard was drafted in the sixth round (185th overall) in April out of Ohio State, but he suffered a fractured bone in his left hand in training camp on Aug. 5 that kept him sidelined for the entire preseason. He will now begin his NFL career in Pittsburgh on IR, which means he won't be eligible to play in the first four games of the season. The good news is that the injury is to Howard's non-throwing hand, so he should be ready to go when he's eligible. When Howard is cleared, he should operate as the team's emergency third signal-caller behind starter Aaron Rodgers and backup Mason Rudolph.

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Jaylen Wright Aug 28 11:10am CT
Jaylen Wright

Miami Dolphins running back Jaylen Wright (leg) had surgery on his injured leg and could be back "Septemberish," according to head coach Mike McDaniel. Wright is not out for the entire season, according to Barry Jackson of the Miami Herald. The 22-year-old is expected to miss multiple week, although an exact timetable is not known. With De'Von Achane (calf) also battling a nagging calf injury that could put him up in the air for Week 1 against the Indianapolis Colts, it's possible that rookie Ollie Gordon II could serve as Miami's primary ball-carrier to open the 2025 regular season. Achane and Wright should still be drafted in all fantasy formats, but these injuries have also made Gordon much more intriguing as a late-round flier, especially as a handcuff to Achane. Wright has not gone on Injured Reserve, which means Miami thinks he can return within the first four weeks of the season.

From RotoBaller

Tyreek Hill Aug 28 10:10am CT
Tyreek Hill

Miami Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel said that wide receiver Tyreek Hill (oblique) looks good for Week 1, per Travis Wingfield of MiamiDolphins.com. Hill has been limited throughout training camp due to an oblique injury and missed practice on Wednesday, but it appears the team anticipates him playing in the opener against the Indianapolis Colts. Hill played all 17 games for Miami in 2024, but he battled through a wrist injury and posted his fewest receiving yards per game (56.4) and lowest receiving touchdown total (six) since his rookie season. The 31-year-old profiles as a low-end WR1/high-end WR2 in fantasy, but the potential for age and injury-related regression makes him a somewhat risky selection in the early rounds.

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Breece Hall Aug 28 10:00am CT
Breece Hall

The Athletic's Zack Rosenblatt writes that New York Jets running back Breece Hall "wasn't (the team's) best running back in training camp." Rosenblatt also reports that, based on the way Jets' coaches have raved about second-year back Braelon Allen, he wouldn't be surprised if Allen "overtakes (Hall) completely as the lead back at some point." There's been a steady drumbeat of reporting indicating a split workload in the Jets' backfield this season. That could lead to Hall being limited to mostly passing-down work, which may mean he is currently overvalued in fantasy drafts as one of the first 15-20 running backs off the board. Hall remains a very talented player who had an extremely productive fantasy season as recently as 2023, so he's a risky pick due to the variance between his floor and ceiling.

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Kendrick Bourne Aug 28 9:50am CT
Kendrick Bourne

The San Francisco 49ers are "still in the mix" to sign free-agent wide receiver Kendrick Bourne, according to Matt Barrows of The Athletic. Bourne was released by the New England Patriots on Wednesday. The 30-year-old spent the first four seasons of his career in San Francisco, so there's familiarity between player and organization. The 49ers currently have just three fully healthy and available wide receivers on their 53-man roster, so Bourne would have a chance to contribute immediately if San Francisco were to bring him in. Bourne recorded 28 catches for 305 yards and one touchdown in 12 games (nine starts) for New England in 2024.

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Noah Brown Aug 28 9:20am CT
Noah Brown

Washington Commanders wide receiver Noah Brown (knee) returned to practice on Wednesday, according to Nicki Jhabvala of The Athletic. Brown suffered a knee injury in minicamp that forced him to miss nearly all of training camp, but it appears he has a chance to be ready for Week 1. The 29-year-old played in 11 games for Washington last season, recording 35 catches for 453 yards and one touchdown. Brown is expected to be Washington's WR3 alongside Terry McLaurin and Deebo Samuel Sr. Brown is unlikely to be a significant factor in fantasy this season, but he could be a solid bye-week replacement off the waiver wire if one of McLaurin or Samuel Sr. were to go down with an injury.

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Bailey Zappe Aug 28 9:10am CT
Bailey Zappe

The Cleveland Browns brought back quarterback Bailey Zappe with a spot on their practice squad, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. The fourth-year pro appeared in one game for Cleveland last season, but failed to latch on with Kansas City after training camp and was waived. Cleveland, which traded Kenny Pickett to Las Vegas earlier this week, will keep quarterbacks Joe Flacco, Shedeur Sanders, and Dillon Gabriel on its 53-man roster. Zappe, who had his moments as a rookie in New England, is way off the fantasy radar at this point.

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