Guest of the League
Cack a lack
High Stakes $125 - FFL: Offseason | NFL: Superbowl

Super Bowl: Early line, MVP odds and general betting primer

Mon Jan 27 11:01am ET
Field Level Media

We have a sequel, football fans! Either that or a remake/reboot, take your pick. The two teams playing in Super Bowl LIX should look familiar because they are the same two that played in Super Bowl LVII: the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles.

Now that the Feb. 9 Big Game is set, it is time to get in on the action. Sportsbooks didn't make us wait, posting odds quickly once the Chiefs officially won the AFC once again. Let's take a look at the opening line, along with the odds for other Super Bowl betting markets.

--Super Bowl opening line:

Super Bowl LIX is the second for Philadelphia in three years, both vs. Kansas City, and the fifth in six years for the Chiefs. The Eagles were slight favorites when they played the Chiefs in Super Bowl LVII (with Kansas City winning 38-35), but it appears that they are opening as slight underdogs this time:

Super Bowl LIX opening line (odds via FanDuel):

• Point spread: Eagles +1.5 (-105); Chiefs -1.5 (-115)

• Moneyline: Eagles +110; Chiefs -130

• Point total: O/U 49.5 (-110/-110)

Each conference has won the Super Bowl 29 times, but history has been much kinder to the AFC in recent years. Not only have the Chiefs won the last two, but a team from the AFC has won seven of the last 10. The AFC was the betting favorite in three and covered in each one.

The NFC was the underdog in two of its wins and failed to cover in the third. As for the point total, the OVER is 1-5 in the last six Super Bowls and 4-6 in the last 10.

As for our two competitors, the Eagles were the better team ATS this season, going 13-7, while the Chiefs were just 10-10 (postseason included). The OVER lost more than it won for both teams, going 9-11 for the Chiefs and the Eagles.

--Super Bowl MVP odds:

Super Bowl MVP odds have been available since the regular season ended and prior to the playoffs getting underway. But now that we are down to two teams, you no longer have to worry about betting on someone who may not even make the game.

The latest odds make it clear who the favorites are. Here's a partial list of the players listed at the top of FanDuel's Super Bowl MVP betting board:

• Patrick Mahomes +105

• Saquon Barkley +290

• Jalen Hurts +380

• Travis Kelce +1700

• Xavier Worthy +3000

• A.J. Brown +3200

• DeVonta Smith +5000

• Marquise Brown +6500

• Kareem Hunt +6000

• Chris Jones +6000

Quarterbacks have, of course, won the most (33). They are followed by wide receivers (eight), running backs (seven), linebackers (four), defensive ends (two) and safeties (two), plus one cornerback, one defensive tackle and one kick/punt returner.

Patrick Mahomes won MVP in his three previous wins. A quarterback has won in seven of the last 10, with a wide receiver winning twice and a linebacker once.

The Chiefs offense is not the same explosive beast it was in its previous wins. But that will just make it more apparent when Mahomes saves the day. So, if you are thinking about putting money down on him, do it soon. His odds will not remain plus money for long.

--Additional Super Bowl LIX markets (odds via FanDuel):

If you've ever thought, "Wow, there sure are a lot of betting options on regular-season games," then you haven't seen anything yet. Sportsbooks give bettors a chance to bet on just about anything and everything related to the Super Bowl.

BetMGM has coin-toss odds available (-105 for heads or tails), but you'll have to wait for the other, more popular exotic markets like those associated with Gatorade color, length of the national anthem, halftime props, etc.

But you can already bet on several common, popular prop bets like:

• Saquon Barkley, Anytime Touchdown -190

• Saquon Barkley, O/U 114.5 Rushing Yards (-114/-114)

• Jalen Hurts, O/U 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+178/-240)

• Travis Kelce, O/U 6.5 Receptions (-110/-110)

The markets mentioned above are just a small sample of the hundreds of betting markets already available to bettors at their favorite sportsbook -- and the fun is just getting started!

Top Headlines
The Paur Report

TFC Champion is Crowned

Player Notes
A.J. Brown Jan 27 10:00am ET
A.J. Brown

Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver A.J. Brown delivered a massive bounce-back performance against the Washington Commanders, hauling in six receptions on eight targets for 96 yards and a touchdown. This marked Brown's best game since Week 15, showcasing his elite talent and reminding everyone of the dominant playmaker he is. Brown's ability to make plays was on full display, as he consistently found space and made critical catches. With the Eagles adopting a more balanced offensive attack in this game, Brown thrived and proved why he's one of the league's premier receivers. As the Eagles gear up for their Super Bowl matchup against the Buffalo Bills, Brown will be a key factor in their offensive game plan and poised for another standout performance.

From RotoBaller

DeVonta Smith Jan 27 10:00am ET
DeVonta Smith

Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver DeVonta Smith maintained his reliability against the Washington Commanders, securing four receptions for 45 yards. Though he hasn't found the end zone in these playoffs, Smith has been a steady target for Jalen Hurts, recording four catches in each postseason game this year. Smith's ability to make plays when called upon adds crucial balance to the Eagles offense, complementing the dominant ground game led by Saquon Barkley. His role as a dependable pass-catcher is pivotal, especially when opposing defenses focus on limiting A.J. Brown and Dallas Goedert. As the Eagles head to the Super Bowl to face the Buffalo Bills, Smith will likely continue to play a key supporting role, providing Hurts with a consistent option in the passing attack.

From RotoBaller

Dallas Goedert Jan 27 10:00am ET
Dallas Goedert

Philadelphia Eagles tight end Dallas Goedert had another strong performance in the NFC Championship victory over the Washington Commanders. He led the team with seven receptions for 85 yardshis highest yardage output since Week 3 of the regular seasonand added two rushes for 13 yards. Throughout the playoffs, Goedert has been Jalen Hurts' most reliable passing option, averaging five receptions and 62.7 yards per game. His resurgence in the postseason highlights his ability to perform in critical moments, making him a vital part of the Eagles' offensive success. As the Eagles prepare to face the Buffalo Bills in the Super Bowl, Goedert's versatility and ability to find openings in the defense will be key. Look for him to play another significant role in the biggest game of the season.

From RotoBaller

Jalen Hurts Jan 27 9:50am ET
Jalen Hurts

Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts shined in Sunday's NFC Championship victory over the Washington Commanders. Completing 20 of 28 passes (71.4%) for 246 yards and one passing touchdown, Hurts also added 10 carries for 16 yards and three rushing touchdowns. Hurts showcased his ability to lead a balanced offense, playing efficiently and making smart decisions throughout the game. His passing precision paired well with his signature "tush push" play, which proved unstoppable at the goal line. Hurts' leadership and dynamic playmaking helped the Eagles score a season-high 55 points. As Philadelphia prepares for the Super Bowl against the Buffalo Bills, Hurts' versatility and postseason experience will be critical in securing the Eagles' second championship in franchise history.

From RotoBaller

Saquon Barkley Jan 27 9:50am ET
Saquon Barkley

Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley dazzled in the NFC Championship, torching the Washington Commanders with 15 carries for 118 yards and three touchdowns. Barkley has now averaged an astonishing 147.3 rushing yards per game in the postseason, solidifying his role as the cornerstone of the Eagles offense. Even with Philadelphia opening up the passing game more than in recent weeks, Barkley's production remained elite. His ability to gash defenses for big plays and find the end zone has been pivotal to the Eagles' playoff success, giving him five touchdowns this postseason. As the Eagles prepare for the Super Bowl against the Buffalo Bills, Barkley's dominant ground game will be vital in their quest for a ring.

From RotoBaller

Keon Coleman Jan 27 2:30am ET
Keon Coleman

Buffalo Bills wide receiver Keon Coleman caught just one of his four targets for 12 yards during Sunday's AFC Championship loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. The rookie endured highs and lows this season, but most fans and fantasy managers would be quick to admit that they expected a little more out of Coleman during his rookie campaign. After all, he was the first pick in the second round of the draft, making him the Bills' highest wide receiver selection since 2014. Through 16 games between the regular season and playoffs, he caught just 32 of his 65 targets (49.2 percent) for 578 yards and four touchdowns. Coleman currently projects to be the Bills' No. 2 receiver alongside Khalil Shakir next year, but Buffalo may be tempted to bring in some star power at the position after coming up short in the playoffs once again.

From RotoBaller

Curtis Samuel Jan 27 2:30am ET
Curtis Samuel

Buffalo Bills wide receiver Curtis Samuel caught a four-yard touchdown pass during Sunday's AFC Championship loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. Samuel's score came on his only reception, but he did have three total targets in the contest. The veteran occupied a depth role throughout the 2024 season, routinely operating behind players like Khalil Shakir, Amari Cooper, Keon Coleman, and Mack Hollins. He's under contract with Buffalo through 2026, but he could face some additional competition next year if the Bills pursue a wide receiver addition during free agency or the NFL Draft. As it stands, Samuel can be avoided in most fantasy football leagues.

From RotoBaller

Amari Cooper Jan 27 2:20am ET
Amari Cooper

Buffalo Bills wide receiver Amari Cooper caught all four of his targets for 33 yards during Sunday's AFC Championship loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. Cooper hadn't totaled more than three catches in a single game since Dec. 8, so it was refreshing to see him get more involved on a steady basis Sunday. However, it wasn't quite enough as the Bills once again failed to take down the Chiefs in the playoffs. Cooper finishes his age-30 season with 50 catches, 588 yards, and four touchdowns split between 17 games with the Bills and Browns. He's slated to hit free agency this March, and a reunion with Buffalo seems unlikely given that he underwhelmed during the final stretch of the 2024 campaign.

From RotoBaller

Dalton Kincaid Jan 27 2:20am ET
Dalton Kincaid

Buffalo Bills tight end Dalton Kincaid caught just two of his four targets for 13 yards during Sunday's AFC Championship loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. The second-year tight end had a costly drop as a pass from Josh Allen hit off his hands with less than two minutes remaining in the fourth quarter. While some of the blame could be placed on less-than-perfect ball placement from Allen, the bottom line is that Kincaid's drop resulted in a turnover on downs, giving the ball back to the Chiefs, who were able to run out the clock. The Utah product finishes his second year in the NFL with just 50 catches, 519 yards, and two touchdowns through 16 total games between the regular season and playoffs. The first-round pick has not yet lived up to his potential, and he'll likely rank outside the top 12 tight ends heading into 2025 fantasy drafts.

From RotoBaller

Mack Hollins Jan 27 2:10am ET
Mack Hollins

Buffalo Bills wide receiver Mack Hollins caught three of his four targets for 73 yards and a touchdown during Sunday's AFC Championship loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. The veteran receiver's biggest play of the game came on a 34-yard touchdown strike from Josh Allen. While Khalil Shakir and Keon Coleman were the top names in Buffalo's wide receiver corps this year, Hollins quietly put together a strong campaign. Not only did he register 482 receiving yards between the regular season and playoffs, but he also led the entire Bills roster with six receiving touchdowns. The 31-year-old is slated to hit unrestricted free agency in March, and Hollins' impressive 2024 campaign could encourage prospective teams to view him as a strong No. 3 wide receiver option moving forward.

From RotoBaller

Khalil Shakir Jan 27 2:10am ET
Khalil Shakir

Buffalo Bills wide receiver Khalil Shakir caught six of his seven targets for 46 yards during Sunday's AFC Championship loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. The talented slot receiver led the team in targets and receptions during the defeat. Although Buffalo wasn't able to punch its ticket to Super Bowl LIX, Shakir played well. He has delivered solid results through two games against the Chiefs this year, dropping 14 catches and 116 yards on a Kansas City defense that is susceptible to big showings from slot receivers. In the coming months, there will be plenty of chatter about the Bills looking to add a true No. 1 receiver after numerous failed efforts to knock the Chiefs off their pedestal in the AFC. However, if Buffalo doesn't make a major splash at wide receiver, Shakir has shown that he's capable of handling a large dose of targets while ranking as a low-end WR2 in fantasy football. He remains an appealing option for managers ahead of 2025 fantasy drafts, barring a major shakeup within the Bills' depth chart.

From RotoBaller

James Cook Jan 27 2:00am ET
James Cook

Buffalo Bills running back James Cook rushed 13 times for 85 yards and two touchdowns during Sunday's AFC Championship loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. He also caught all three of his targets for an additional 49 yards through the air. Given that Cook had just 2.2 yards per carry against the Chiefs back in Week 11, he bounced back in a huge way this Sunday. He was highly efficient on the ground, productive through the air, and carried the Bills to a pair of scores. Simply put, he kept Buffalo in the game until the final seconds. Cook totaled 19 touchdowns between the regular season and playoffs, establishing himself as a steady RB1 option for fantasy football. Even with Ray Davis pushing for more opportunities, Cook should continue to be viewed as a top-10 option at his position heading into 2025 fantasy drafts.

From RotoBaller

Josh Allen Jan 27 2:00am ET
Josh Allen

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen completed 22 of his 34 pass attempts for 237 yards, two touchdowns, and zero interceptions during Sunday's AFC Championship loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. He also took two sacks and rushed 11 times for 39 yards on the ground. Finally, Allen fumbled three times, but he was fortunate that all three loose balls were scooped up by the Bills rather than a Chiefs defender. The MVP candidate played well in the contest, keeping his team in the game until the final seconds. However, it wasn't quite enough as the Chiefs picked up yet another playoff victory over Buffalo. Despite his season falling short of a Super Bowl berth, Allen has established himself as one of the NFL's top quarterbacks. He should continue to be viewed as a top option heading into 2025 fantasy football drafts.

From RotoBaller

Saquon Barkley Jan 27 12:13am ET
Saquon Barkley

Dynasty | Eagles running back Saquon Barkley had 118 rushing yards and three touchdowns in a 55-23 blowout win in the NFC Championship game. Dynasty Analysis: Well, if there were any questions about Barkley, they've been answered this season. Barkley was again a monster in this one as he took his first carry 60 yards to the house and just added on from there. He's the most talented running back in the league and while his age may give some people a little pause in terms of his dynasty value, he's clearly worked his way back up into the round one conversation in dynasty league start-ups. He's simply that good.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

Jalen Hurts Jan 27 12:13am ET
Jalen Hurts

Dynasty | Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts completed 20-of-28 passes for 246 yards with one touchdown and no interceptions, adding 16 rushing yards and three more touchdowns in a 55-23 wipeout of Washington in the NFC title game. Dynasty Analysis: The Eagles are proving to everyone that a run-first offense can still win games in the NFL. Oh, and it helps when you have an elite runner at quarterback and the best running back in the NFL. Hurts and Saquon Barkley combined for a whopping six rushing touchdowns in this one as the Eagles piled up the most points ever in a championship game. Hurts has certainly regained any value he lost early on in the year and could ascend even more with a big game in the Super Bowl.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

Zach Ertz Jan 27 12:13am ET
Zach Ertz

Dynasty | Commanders tight end Zach Ertz caught 11 passes for 104 yards in a loss in the NFC title game. Dynasty Analysis: Nearly left for dead at the beginning of the season, Ertz came on strong and had another great year. Today was incredible as he posted a whopping 16 targets. While clearly aging and no longer the threat he used to be, Ertz is still roster worthy and should be a solid TE2 next year as long as he doesn't decide to retire.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

Jayden Daniels Jan 27 12:13am ET
Jayden Daniels

Dynasty | Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels completed 29-of-48 passes for 255 yards with one touchdown and one interception in a blowout loss against the Eagles in the NFC Championship game. Dynasty Analysis: Daniels added 48 rushing yards and a score to lead the Commanders as well. With Washington simply unable to stop the Eagles offense, it was next to impossible for Daniels to really do much of anything. Regardless of this outcome, he clearly showed enough to prove to everyone he's going to be a QB1 in dynasty leagues for the long haul. Of all the surprises this season, he's one of the most pleasant.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

Josh Allen Jan 27 12:13am ET
Josh Allen

Dynasty | Bills quarterback Josh Allen completed 22-of-34 passes for 237 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions in an AFC Championship loss to the Chiefs. Dynasty Analysis: Allen looked a little shaky at first but did his best to keep the Bills in the game. Unfortunately, he couldn't overcome the Chiefs defense yet again and sees another season come to a close. Dynasty managers won't mind much as there are few (if any) players you'd rather have at the helm of your dynasty squads. He was tremendous again this season and should be a top-shelf option for years to come.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

Travis Kelce Jan 26 11:40pm ET
Travis Kelce

Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce caught two passes for 19 yards in the 32-29 AFC Championship win over the Buffalo Bills. The Bills defense made a concerted effort to remove the easy button for Patrick Mahomes, leading to more opportunities for the other Chiefs pass catchers. Despite Kelce being minimally involved, Kansas City did enough to advance to the Super Bowl against the Philadelphia Eagles in New Orleans. This year's Super Bowl matchup will be a rematch of the 2023 Super Bowl, which ended with a Chiefs victory. In their last Super Bowl matchup, Kelce caught six passes for 81 yards and a touchdown. The 35-year-old is two touchdowns away from tying Jerry Rice for the most postseason touchdowns of all time, so he could be in for a historic performance. It will be a difficult matchup, considering the Eagles defense was arguably the best in the league this season, but Kelce is known for showing up in big moments.

From RotoBaller

Xavier Worthy Jan 26 11:30pm ET
Xavier Worthy

Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Xavier Worthy caught six passes for 85 yards and a touchdown in the 32-29 win over the Buffalo Bills. The rookie showed up in the AFC Championship game, scoring an 11-yard touchdown in the second quarter. Worthy led the Chiefs in catches, receiving yards, and targets in the crucial win to send Kansas City to their third-straight Super Bowl appearance. The 21-year-old has become the most reliable wide receiver for Patrick Mahomes and should be a vital piece of the game plan for the Super Bowl in New Orleans. Worthy will have to contend with the Philadelphia Eagles, who had one of the best defenses in the league this season. The Eagles lost to the Chiefs in the 2023 Super Bowl, so they will have some extra motivation to even the score. Worthy will look to continue being a top option for Mahomes in the biggest game of his life.

From RotoBaller