Fri Dec 20 6:24pm ET
Field Level Media
With 12 games on the schedule for Sunday featuring many of the NFL's best teams, fans will have hundreds of player props to choose from for their betting pleasure in Week 16.
Rather than take hours of your day to research and figure out which are the best, see if any of our top ten picks inspire you. (These will be in no specific order. Odds are from FanDuel unless otherwise indicated.)
Eagles vs. Commanders
--Jalen Hurts, O/U 191.5 Passing Yards at -113/-113
--Hurts to throw for 200+ yards at +108
Hurts is averaging right around 200 yards per game this season. While he had 290 his last time out against a good Steelers defense, he had less than 180 in his previous three. His numbers against the Steelers have to be taken with a grain of salt since Saquon Barkley missed time with an injury.
Washington controlled the game for three quarters a few weeks ago in Philly, only to lose after Barkley and the Eagles dominated the fourth quarter. I don't see the passing game working as well as it did last time, but I doubt it will struggle as it did vs. Carolina, Baltimore and the Rams.
The Washington pass defense has held teams to less than 190 yards per game this season, but 209 ypg over the last three. Hurts will probably have a day similar to the one he had in the previous game vs. Washington (18-28 for 221 yards).
Take the OVER on his passing yards.
Giants vs. Falcons
--Michael Penix Jr., O/U 228.5 Passing Yards at -115/-115 (via DraftKings)
The Falcons will want to see their young quarterback spread his wings, but they'll also want to protect him as much as they can. To that end, they'll lean hard on the run in this game to draw the Giants' defense in and then pass when his receivers are in single coverage.
They will not need to throw much against this Giants team and will probably let Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier carry most of the load.
Take the UNDER.
--Tyler Allgeier, O/U 36.5 Rushing Yards at -110/-110 (via bet365)
--Allgeier to rush for 50+ yards +165 (via BetMGM)
The Falcons may let Penix air it out in the first quarter but will otherwise have him throw just enough to keep the Giants' defense honest. Robinson, of course, will carry the bulk of the load. But Allgeier will see the ball more than he usually does.
He had fewer than 10 carries in 10 of 14 games; look for him to get closer to 15 Sunday. With the Giants' defense allowing 4.9 yards per carry, Allgeier should easily go over this total.
Take the OVER.
Lions vs. Bears
--Sam LaPorta, O/U 41.5 Receiving Yards at -115/-115 (via BetMGM)
Losing David Montgomery for the immediate future stings, but the Lions do still have Jahmyr Gibbs. But they'll likely try to find other ways to move the ball to keep from overworking Gibbs. LaPorta has had a quiet season but has seen his target share go up in the last two weeks.
Big, pass-catching tight ends like LaPorta are great for moving the chains, and the Lions will probably use LaPorta more in that capacity going forward.
Take the OVER.
Browns vs. Bengals
--Chase Brown, O/U 74.5 Rushing Yards at -110/-110 (via bet365)
--Brown, O/U 17.5 Rushing Attempts at -130/+100 (via DraftKings)
Cincinnati has been all over the place with Brown's touches this season. He had 25 last week vs. Tennessee but 12 to 14 in three of the previous four games. But teams have averaged 32 rushing attempts and 119.3 yards against the Browns in the last three weeks.
With the Browns starting Dorian Thompson-Robinson at quarterback, the Bengals will probably want to run a little more often to keep the clock moving. It will be the Joe Burrow and Ja'Marr Chase show in the first half, but Brown will take over in the second.
Take the OVER for both.
--Jerry Jeudy, O/U 62.5 Receiving Yards at -110/-110 (via bet365)
--Jeudy, O/U 5.5 Receptions at +125/-165
Jeudy has gone over this yardage total in his last seven games, but bettors may want to mute expectations with Thompson-Robinson at quarterback. While DTR is a tremendous athlete, he struggles to connect with his receivers. He has completed just 44.1 percent of his passes this season (15-for-34) and 51.4 percent in his career (75-for-146).
As for his receptions total, Jeudy is one of Cleveland's better playmakers. They'll eventually settle for short throws to the flats that DTR can complete just to get the ball in Jeudy's hands. Since those throws will be relatively easy to complete, Jeudy will see the ball enough to go over this total.
Take the UNDER for his yardage but the OVER for his receptions.
Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Mac Jones had a decent outing in a 19-14 loss to the Las Vegas Raiders. The former Patriot finished with 25 completions on 39 attempts for 247 yards and a touchdown. Jones went back to his previous ways of struggling to lead the Jaguars offense to a significant point total, but he at least had a decent enough fantasy outing to fill in as a solid QB2. Jones's favorite target was once again Brian Thomas Jr., who has proven to be one of the best young receivers in the league despite inconsistent quarterback play. Both of their fantasy days were salvaged by a 62-yard touchdown in the third quarter to take a 14-13 lead. Jones will likely continue to rely on Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 17 against the Tennessee Titans.
From RotoBaller
Dynasty | Falcons quarterback Michael Penix Jr completed 18-of-27 passes for 202 yards with no touchdowns and an interception in a win against the Giants. Dynasty Analysis: Penix's interception was far from his fault as a red zone pass to Kyle Pitts bounced right off his hands and into the arms of the defense. Penix moved the offense effectively and didn't look rattled at all. While this was the Giants defense that doesn't exactly resemble the '85 Bears, Penix gave the Falcons more than Kirk Cousins has for most of the year. His dynasty value is on the rise.
Dynasty | Falcons running back Bijan Robinson had 94 rushing yards and two touchdowns in a win over the Giants. Dynasty Analysis: He added two catches for nine yards. It seems Atlanta has finally realized they have a bona fide superstar at the position and Robinson is quickly emerging as a truly elite RB1 in fantasy football. Dynasty managers had to be patient, but it seems his time is finally here. Robinson will likely enter the off-season as the RB1 in dynasty leagues based on his late season surge.
Dynasty | Colts running back Jonathan Taylor had 218 rushing yards and three touchdowns in a win against the Titans. Dynasty Analysis: Taylor has been decent this season, but hadn't posted a rushing touchdown since before Halloween. That all ended today as he had two different touchdown runs of at least 65 yards. It was a huge day for JT, who wasn't even a lineup lock today based on his recent performance. Any dynasty manager who started him in the playoffs will likely forgive him for his mid-season slump. His dynasty value should be stable going into the off-season after this one.
Dynasty | Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts was knocked out of a loss to Washington with a head injury. Dynasty Analysis: This was terrible timing for anyone in a dynasty league who had him as their playoff starter. Hurts ended the day with just 11 passing yards and 41 rushing yards. He'll be in concussion protocol going into next week and while today does nothing to his dynasty value, managers may need to look at different options for next week.
Dynasty | Eagles running back Saquon Barkley had 150 rushing yards and two touchdowns in a loss against Washington. Dynasty Analysis: The Eagles blew the game, but that's hardly on the shoulders of Barkley, who has been dynamic for much of the season. Barkley is now 162 yards shy of 2,000 on the season and while the all-time record of 2,105 seems out of reach with just two games to play, this has been a historic season for the running back. Few veteran running backs see their dynasty value climb like his during a season, but he looks like the player we all dreamed of years ago now that he's with the Eagles.
Las Vegas Raiders running back Ameer Abdullah rushed seven times for 38 yards and a touchdown in his team's 19-14 victory against the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 16. He added 47 yards on 5-of-6 receiving. The 31-year-old was again heavily involved in the passing game, racking up his second straight game with at least six targets. Abdullah was the team's second-leading receiver in every statistical category behind sensational rookie tight end Brock Bowers and scored a touchdown for the second straight game. Despite backfield mate Alexander Mattison piling up five more carries, Abdullah out-gained him by 11 and ran for 5.4 yards per carry to 2.3 for the latter. With solid involvement through the air seemingly intact, the tenth-year veteran is an intriguing FLEX option in PPR formats. He'll be as such next Sunday in a road meeting with the New Orleans Saints.
From RotoBaller
Jacksonville Jaguars running back Tank Bigsby had a solid fantasy outing in a 19-14 loss to the Las Vegas Raiders. Bigsby finished with 12 carries for 50 yards and a touchdown and one catch for one yard. The young back from Auburn out touched and was more efficient than teammate Travis Etienne Jr. He finished with an average of 4.2 yards per carry compared to Etienne Jr.'s 2.4 yards per carry on nine carries. Bigsby also scored a one-yard touchdown, a good sign for his fantasy prospects going forward. While the Jaguars seem to be using a hot-hand approach, the general pattern this season has been Etienne Jr. is slightly more involved in the passing game while Bigsby is slightly more involved in the running game. Bigsby will look to continue leading the backfield in carries and goal line opportunities in Week 17 against the Tennessee Titans.
From RotoBaller
Las Vegas Raiders tight end Brock Bowers hauled in 11 of 13 targets for 99 yards in Sunday's 19-14 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars. The rookie was at it again on Sunday, leading his team in targets, receptions, and yards. No other Raiders pass-catcher registered more than five receptions or six targets. It was another standout performance from Bowers, who registered his fourth game of 10 or more catches. The 22-year-old has already smashed Sam LaPorta's year-old reception record of 86 (101) and stands just nine yards shy of tying Mike Ditka's 63-year-old receiving yardage record (1,076). Astounding. He'll have a good shot at exceeding said record in Week 17 when Las Vegas lines up against the New Orleans Saints on the road next Sunday. Bowers is a locked-in TE1.
From RotoBaller
The Philadelphia Eagles could not hold on late, falling to the Washington Commanders 36-33 in Week 16. The points allowed were a new season high for the unit, the most they've let up since Week 4 in a 33-16 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Still, they were effective -- turning over the Commanders' offense on five separate occasions (three fumble recoveries). It wasn't enough, though, as a Jayden Daniels touchdown with ten seconds to go in the fourth quarter was enough to seal the deal against an Eagles offense missing quarterback Jalen Hurts (concussion). Philadelphia will line up against the Dallas Cowboys next weekend and is again a candidate for a viable fantasy performance. The unit had a massive outing against the same Dallas squad on the road in Week 10.
From RotoBaller
Cleveland Browns tight end David Njoku caught eight of his 10 targets for 66 yards in a 24-6 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 16. In Dorian Thompson-Robinson's first start of the season, Njoku emerged as the young signal-caller's favorite target as he led the team in all receiving categories in the loss to Cincy. In even more positive news, Njoku appeared to emerge from the game without any setbacks to the hamstring injury that held him out of a Week 15 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. Even though the quarterback switch from Jameis Winston to DTR is a downgrade for Cleveland's passing game, Njoku's production in Week 16 is encouraging for his fantasy outlook heading into a Week 17 home matchup against the Miami Dolphins.
From RotoBaller
Cleveland Browns kicker Dustin Hopkins missed his lone extra-point attempt in a 24-6 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 16. Hopkins has struggled with his accuracy this season, so much so that the Browns made him inactive in Week 15 to give him a week to clear his head. It apparently didn't work as Hopkins missed his third extra-point attempt of the season, to go along with just a 64% field-goal success rate on 25 attempts. Hopkins will not be a recommended fantasy option heading into Week 17 against the Miami Dolphins, assuming he is still the team's kicker.
From RotoBaller
San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy came up short in a 29-17 loss to the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday. With the team down to its fifth-string option at running back, Purdy led the team in rushing with 26 yards on four scrambles and threw the football a career-high 40 times. He completed 26 passes for 313 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception. Purdy's touchdowns included a 16-yard Deebo Samuel Sr. catch-and-run through three tacklers and a two-yard toss to second tight end Eric Saubert. Late in the fourth quarter with San Francisco needing a touchdown for a chance to win, Purdy was hit as he threw to wideout Jauan Jennings and the football ended up in the hands of Miami nickelback Kader Kohou. Over his last four games, Purdy has alternated between two sub-five-point bad-weather games and two 20-plus-point performances in good weather. He'll get the Detroit Lions home in Santa Clara on Monday night in Week 17.
From RotoBaller
The Cleveland Browns defense struggled in a 24-6 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 16. The Browns allowed Cincinnati to rack up 326 yards of total offense while notching four sacks and one turnover in the loss. On a bright note, Myles Garrett picked up the 100th sack of his career, making him the youngest player in NFL history to reach the milestone. Cleveland's defense will have another tough task on hand in Week 17 as they will host the Miami Dolphins.
From RotoBaller
Cleveland Browns wide receiver Jerry Jeudy caught two of his three targets for 20 yards in a 24-6 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 16. The Browns' No. 1 receiver predictably busted following the team's decision to bench Jameis Winston in favor of Dorian Thompson-Robinson following Week 15, finishing fourth on the team in receiving yardage. Thompson-Robinson passed for only 157 yards on 34 pass attempts and took five sacks while throwing two picks in the lopsided loss to Cincy. Assuming Cleveland sticks with DTR under center, Jeudy remains borderline unplayable in fantasy heading into a home matchup against the Miami Dolphins in Week 17.
From RotoBaller
Cleveland Browns wide receiver Elijah Moore caught two of his five targets for 21 yards in a 24-6 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 16. Moore and the rest of the Cleveland receivers struggled in Dorian Thompson-Robinson's first start of the season as most of the quarterback's 157 passing yards went to David Njoku (66 yards) and Jerome Ford (39). Moore has been held to 34 or fewer receiving yards in three straight games and will not be on the fantasy radar heading into a home matchup against the Miami Dolphins in Week 17.
From RotoBaller
Philadelphia Eagles kicker Jake Elliott connected on 4-of-5 field goal attempts and nailed all three of his extra-point tries in Sunday's 36-33 loss to the Washington Commanders. The Memphis product converted kicks of 24, 40 (twice), and 50 yards on the afternoon, missing his longest attempt of the day -- a 56-yarder at the end of the first half. Still, Elliott was excellent in the semi-finals, pushing fantasy managers to victory with a huge day. It could have been a very different outing, too, considering quarterback Jalen Hurts (concussion) was forced from the contest and did not return. The 29-year-old is now 24-of-31 on the year on field goal attempts and has missed just one of his 41 point-after attempts. He'll square off against the Dallas Cowboys next Sunday in Week 17.
From RotoBaller
Philadelphia Eagles tight end Grant Calcaterra was not targeted in his team's 36-33 loss to the Washington Commanders. It was a weird day for the Eagles in the upset loss. Quarterback Jalen Hurts (concussion) was forced from the contest early, leaving Kenny Pickett (ribs) manning the helm for the team. Pickett would attempt just 24 passes while running back Saquon Barkley chewed up 29 carries en route to another monster performance. Aside from wide receivers A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith, no other Philadelphia pass-catcher would garner more than a single target. It's a letdown for Calcaterra in an exploitable matchup, but the outlook of Philly's skill players all took a hit with the entrance of Pickett. The 26-year-old will get a slightly stiffer test next Sunday in a rematch with the visiting Dallas Cowboys. His fantasy outlook will hinge on who is calling signals for the Eagles.
From RotoBaller
Cleveland Browns running back Jerome Ford carried the ball 11 times for 92 yards and a touchdown while catching all five of his targets for 39 yards in a 24-6 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 16. For the second straight game, Ford found the end zone as he provided the Browns their only points on a four-yard run in the third quarter. He has also shown his explosiveness of late, ripping off a 62-yard run against the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 15 and a 66-yard run against the Bengals in Sunday's loss. Ford is shaping up as a solid RB2 in fantasy heading into a home matchup against the Miami Dolphins in Week 17.
From RotoBaller
Philadelphia Eagles running back Kenneth Gainwell rushed for seven yards on his four carries in Sunday's 36-33 upset loss to the Washington Commanders. He added six yards on his lone target and returned four kicks for 87 yards. The fourth-year back was minimally involved in Week 16 and inefficient even when he did touch the ball. Teammate Saquon Barkley, on the other hand, racked up 150 yards and two scores across his 29 totes. With quarterback Jalen Hurts (concussion) leaving this one early, Philly's offense wasn't its usual self sans Barkley. Backup quarterback Kenny Pickett (ribs) led the way after Hurts' exit and would fill in for the 26-year-old again if he missed more time unless Pickett can't play with his apparent rib injury. Regardless, any other signal-caller at the helm would result in a downgrade for the Eagles' offense as a whole. Gainwell won't be a recommended option when his team hosts the visiting Dallas Cowboys in the fantasy championships.
From RotoBaller